Showing posts with label Funding. Show all posts
Showing posts with label Funding. Show all posts

Friday, December 5, 2014

Orion and Lockheed Martin's Space Systems

After yesterday's irritating, inconvenient winds and complications with the valves of the Delta IV Heavy rocket that had delayed the initial launch, today's launch as well as the initial test flight of NASA's Orion Spacecraft was successful and historic. The $370 million test flight collected crucial data on Orion's major systems - data necessary to reach the ultimate goal: maximize safety for humans that will soon (2021, potential first voyage) travel inside the capsule. Orion - a technological marvel - was designed and built for future human-based missions to distant destinations in our solar system, including Mars (by the mid 2030's) and a rendezvous with an asteroid (as early as 2021).


Delta IV Heavy take off - on the morning of the 5th of December
Credit: Joe Raedle/Getty Images

Orion Contract
What today is the United Launch Alliance (ULA), a 50-50 joint venture owned by Lockheed Martin (NYSE:LMT) and The Boeing Company (NYSE:BA), was awarded the Orion contract back in 2006 - a contract that was then valued at $8.15 billion. In 2010, after the Constellation program, of which Orion was part, was cancelled by the President due to political/budgetary issues, NASA proposed a new plan to develop a Multi-Purpose Crew Vehicle. Lockheed Martin, who is the prime contractor/builder of the Orion Multi-Purpose Crew Vehicle, is the leader of the Orion industry team that includes major subcontractors Aerojet Rocketdyne, United Technologies Aerospace Systems, and Honeywell as parts of an expansive nationwide supply chain network that brought the Orion program to where it is today and to places it will go in the future. Successful execution ("execution," in general) of future missions, on the other hand, depends on government's appropriation of funds. According to the Wall Street Journal, "NASA faces years of daunting technical and financial challenges. The overall systems could cost more than $20 billion through 2021."

Lockheed Martin
According to Lockheed's 2013 annual report, the company's Space Systems business segment, which not only includes Orion and earnings from ULA but also research and development, design, engineering, and production of satellites, strategic and defensive missile systems for national security, experienced net sales of $7.96 billion in the 2013 fiscal year, which is 18% of its total consolidated net sales of $45.4 billion, and operating profit of slightly more than $1 billion, thus making the operating margin of the Space Systems segment 13.1% (overall consolidated operating margin was  slightly less than 10%). Northrop Grumman, which is one of Lockheed's main competitors, experienced sales on its Aerospace Systems (comparable to Lockheed's Space Systems) of slightly more than $10 billion and operating income of $1.2 billion. In the 2013 fiscal year, Northrop's Aerospace Systems' operating margin was 12.1% - a margin smaller than Lockheed's. 

Government contracts account for 98% of the Space Systems segment, which includes NASA, National Oceanic and Atmospheric Association, and several branches of the military (Navy and Air Force). In the case of Northrop, U.S. government contracts account for 86%. The Orion program, on an annual basis, is only a medium contributor to Lockheed's sales for this business segment, and even smaller for the consolidated.

Trying to figure out what the point of this blog post is going to be, I thought I could discuss the importance of the Orion program for NASA and for Lockheed Martin.

  • For Lockheed in its entirety, Orion is only a fraction of its business - the company could live without the program, which, however, it would rather not do - something that I would not advise them to do. The point is, in Lockheed's operation, Orion is a great component to its programs portfolio, but not absolutely vital. Still, the Orion program sharpens the competitive edge against competitors, such as Northrop.
  • Oppositely, NASA, with missions directly affecting humanity, depends on Orion as an program that explores new frontiers of science and technology. Missions, that essentially are for the greater good of the public, depend on government funding to continue the exploration of space, milestone after great milestone. Importance that is paramount.

In my opinion, the return on investment of the Orion program, regarding the gain of scientific and technological knowledge and insight as well as positive impact on the economy due to program spending (almost exclusively inside the United States) is much greater than its cost. 

by Peter Steenhuis

Sources:
http://www.lockheedmartin.com/content/dam/lockheed/data/corporate/documents/2013-Annual-Report.pdf
http://www.lockheedmartin.com/us.html
http://www.lockheedmartin.com/us/ssc/orion-eft1.html
http://www.businessweek.com/articles/2014-12-02/nasas-orion-test-flight-gets-us-closer-to-mars?hootPostID=945e0ef1c8405c785a2dbdd3b90ca373
http://www.space.com/27924-nasa-orion-spacecraft-historic-launch.html
http://www.space.com/27909-nasa-orion-capsule-mars-exploration.html
http://www.space.com/27918-nasa-orion-spacecraft-by-the-numbers.html
http://online.wsj.com/articles/orion-spacecraft-set-for-second-launch-attempt-1417771599

Sunday, November 23, 2014

Space Tourism - Waste of Funding?

Photograph: Phillip Toledano
Credit: theguardian.com
Stéphane Israël, CEO and Chairman of the global-leader of launch service providers (launcher of ESA's Rosetta), Arianespace SA, stated that because space tourism does not benefit enough people, and given "a new space race" between India, China, the United States, and other nations (that is allegedly underway), space tourism should not be prioritized by government funding. Let me explain why I think he needs to reconsider.

According to The Australian Financial Review and The Sydney Morning Herald, which reported on an interview between Israël and Fairfax Media, Australasia's leading multi-platform media company (and publisher of AFR and SMH), Arianespace's chief executive has said the he does not believe in space tourism - it even is a waste of funding. In Israël's opinion, tourism operations, such as Virgin Galactic's and potentially SpaceX's (being also a strong competitive threat to Arianespace's cargo business due to SpaceX gaining market share and continuously reducing costs - economies of scale), should not be a priority for government funding. "But he also said government support and funding should be kept for space programs that focused on helping as many people as possible rather than wealthy space tourists on services like Virgin Galactic." 

"If I had a dream it would be more about using space to deliver global connections to humanity than a few seconds of space tourism." - Stéphane Israël. I ask, why not fund both?

To coarsely sum up my understanding of Israël's opinion:
  1. A new, competitive space race is underway, so scientific exploration should be funded, exclusively, and funding should not be wasted on space tourism.
  2. Space tourism does not benefit enough people, so, again, funding should not be wasted on it.
I understand his points, but I have to disagree. The existence of a space race, similar to the one between the U.S. and the Soviet Union, I find to be highly unlikely. Today, collaboration on scientific ventures as well as the sharing of recently gained scientific and technological insight between nations is quite common. The cooperation on generating new ideas, designing new technology, and executing marvelous missions, speak against the threat of a new space race. Today, value is found in sharing and collaboration, rather than in hoarding and isolation. I do think that scientific exploration and research in space deserve more funding than it currently has access to - for the benefit of humanity; however, my point is: that's simply not a good reason to stop, or neglect, assistive funding for space tourism operators. There is a greater, potential economic impact to be achieved - a reality that should be embraced rather than rejected.

While by 2022 according to Reuters, "the space tourism industry ... is expected to be worth $1 billion," the three following types of impact from space tourism, all which call for innovation in products and services, create a chain reaction, a multiplier effect, that strongly amplifies value for the global economy:
  1. There is a direct impact from spending on inputs, such as engines, computers, other resources necessary to manufacture space vessels, build ports and facilities. While the salaries of thousands of employees will be used to purchase consumer goods and services, supporting livelihoods and creating substantial economic activity.
  2. In supplier industries, there is an indirect impact from the spending on inputs, such as composites, raw materials, electrical wiring, and semi-conductors (and so on) to build components. And here again, employee salaries in the supplier industry will continuously be utilized to purchase consumer goods and services, positively impacting local, state, as well as national economies.
  3. An induced impact, on consumer goods and services industries, as housing, entertainment, food, and clothing, is generating benefits down the line due to the multiplier effect.
It does so much more than simply serving the wealthy end-consumers. Space tourism is a great, innovative addition to the global economy - a brand new industry - that eventually supports itself from paying end-consumers at an increasing demand rate with potentially declining ticket prices. Furthermore, for new and innovative technologies and software, that are being developed here, other application will ultimately be found. 

by Peter Steenhuis

Sources: